Trump’s Investment Claims – Are US Economics Promoted Tariffs?

Donald Trump has called the US President in words. But in terms of obsessions, the business investment must be closed.

As in the last month, he said more than $ 12 trillion (8.8TN £) was “almost committed” on his watch. “No one has ever seen numbers like us,” said the agenda of his fare, tax cuts and draftation.

If true, the figure would be amazing, in fact, approximately 4TN has been a triple in crude private investment last year.

So business expenditure is not a sudden expenditure set as a Trump claim for a new Gold economy era, or is it all the theater?

First things first: It’s too early to have clean data to evaluate their claims during the Trump. The US government published the business investment statistics once a month.

From January to March, two months of trump terms are reflected, even though they show a strong jump on business investments, especially if the analysts said earlier Boeing strike before data.

Some Anecdotal and Survey Some evidence indicate that Trump is a higher increase than that has claimed investment impact.

“We barely have almost any data and almost all the information has been planned and prescribed for investment projects,” says Nick Bloom at Stanford University Professor.

“In my opinion, the business investment has fallen a bit, not massively … especially because the uncertainty is quite high and that will be interrupted.”

The Swiss Pharmaceial Drug Phoine, April is a good example of investing in investing $ 50 billion dollars over five years.

Some projects included in carrying out work already.

Directors also warned some trump ideas – especially revised drug prices – not their plans.

“Pharma Industry should review expenses including investments,” the company said.

Trump is usually his case, investment promises made by high-profile companies such as Apple and Hyundai.

The White House keeps to run These ads include, but in early June, new investments include approximately $ 5.3Tn – Less than half of the sum mentioned by Trump.

Even if this figure is inflated.

Approximately one-third of the 62 investments in the list, the Trump includes at least partially partially partial plans. For example:

• Stellantis, Belvidere, an Illinois factory again on a $ 5 million list, made this promise at the beginning in 2023.

• Other commitments include items that do not include investment Apple’s commitment to $ 500 millionthat includes taxes and salaries paid to the company’s employees.

In fact, since mid-May, new investments are likely to be $ 134 million, according to the study by Goldman Sachs.

This amount is $ 30 million, including investments protected by foreign governments, when researchers would not materialize some projects or it would happen.

“Although not economically irresponsible, increases would fall very well with the latest headers,” they wrote.

By pressing the numbers, the White Spokesman for Kush Pullant has not matched the reality of the administration claims.

“The Trump Administration uses a multi-approaching view of the investment in the United States … and no meaningless nitpicking and measurement.” He said in a statement, which stated that many companies were explicitly credited with Trump and policies to adapt their plans.

BBC approached more than two dozen companies with investments in the White House list.

Many did not answer or refer to previous statements.

Others acknowledged working in the predefined projects of the current administration.

Politicians and companies are excessively unexpected.

But with the wills of the Trump administration to radically intervening, rates and other changes, their plans have given them the ways to pump their plans in the ways of the President, Martin Chorzempa, the elderly elders at the Petersen Institute of the International Economic Institute.

“Making an ad is a way to get some current advantages, without necessarily (expenditure commitments) without being changing situations,” he noted. “It’s a big incentive for companies to give as big as possible.”

This does not mean that Trump policies are not made.

Tariff threats “definitively” plans for further manufacturing companies in the US, the key source of the sector’s profit sources, says Stephen Farrelly, Ing in Pharma and Healthcare.

But, it added, there are limits that threatening threats.

Pharma investments are set to expand over time – in some cases in some cases – in a sector he was ready to grow.

They came from companies that sell branded drugs – there are cheaper medications that many Americans trust and generic medicines that make it in China and India.

Mr. Farrelly warned that the investment in the sector may endanger the long-term, the government gave the uncertainty of tariffs, drug prices and scientific research.

In general, many analysts hope this year in the US investment growth due to the uncertainty.

The Gutierrez German economist from the University of Washington stated that Trump wants to encourage investments in the US, but the problem has been the importance of global competition.

His work has been in the consolidation of the investment industry. Now some large companies predominate in sectors, there is less incentive to compete.

In addition, the types of investment companies are usually cheaper than software, such as software, machines and factories.

Rates, Gutierrez says, will hardly address these issues.

“Mode to do and the tools that are being used are not the best ways to achieve this goal. It takes much more to actually get this,” he said.