Trump-Modi links the rock bottom with new Indian rates on Russian oil

Narendra Modi India was one of the first leaders in the world to visit Washington’s weeks since Donald Trump began his second period.

Modi called his “great friend” as established by both countries The ambitious goal of doubling trade $ 500bn 2030. Until the year.

But six months later, relationships seem to hit the rock bottom.

Trump has now set 50% rates India imported goodsAnd also 10% of the extra threat of Brics, which includes China, Russia and South Africa, as a creative member.

At first he established a 25% rate, but on Wednesday, the penalty for buying Russian oil in Delhi – the government of India, unfair and unreasonable. “

Last week, Trump called Indian economy “dead”.

In the last two decades, it is a relationship with strength to gain strength from force.

In recent weeks, positive signs of Washington and Delhi were about an immediate commercial agreement. Now it is becoming more and more difficult if not impossible.

So what happened?

It seems that any error, maximum geopolitics and a set of political home pressure have broken negotiations.

Delhi Trumpen Tirades has resisted in response, the diploma hopes that they would finally help ensure a trade agreement. But in the White House Trump, there is no guarantee.

Trump thinks Delhi are red lines. The biggest among them Trump repeatedly putting India and his Pakistan opponent on the same base.

A The US president took the head of the army of Pakistan in Asim Munir On the white house there are only a few weeks after the bitter conflict between the two southern rivals.

He then signed a trade agreement in Pakistan, offering a priority rate rate for the country, along with an agreement to explore the country’s oil reserves. One day, one day, Pakistan said oil can sell oil to India.

Another constant irritator of Delhi Trump is a repeated assertion that the US broked the ceasefire between India and Pakistan.

India sees the case of Pakistan with Kashmir as its internal relationship and has always ruled out third-party mediation. Most of the world leaders have been sensitive to Delhi’s position, including the first stint of Trump President.

But that’s not like that. The US president has doubled about the claim, even if the Modi Parliament “did not have a country in the fire break”.

Modi did not Trump or USA, but the political home pressure is not “bending” home.

“With Islamabad comes from the beginning of Islamabad and follows the wider Public of India. Some Indians do not strict concerns that the US can not trust the US,” Washington said Michael Kugelman based on Washington based on Washington.

Delhi’s anger “that they can be cold baggage of war”, but “Real-time developments have also increased.

The governments of the modives grow on nationalists, so his supporters were expected to respond to the US firm.

Catch-22 is a situation – Delhi still wants to make a deal, but it doesn’t want to catch under the trump pressure.

It seems that Delhi is gradually releasing reduction. As a result of Russian Russian oil in front of Washington, Delhi committed to take “all necessary measures” to protect the “national and economic security”.

But the question was why Trump, India loved the hospitality and soon called a large country, went against a trusted ally.

Some analysts see his insults as a pressure tactic to ensure that he believes that he works in the US.

“Trump is a magnate of real estate and is not a diplomatic style, but what is being done is part of a negotiating strategy,” says Jitendra Nath Misra, Indian Ambassador and now a professor of Global Op Jindal.

A source in the Government of India said that Delhik gave a lot of concessions to Washington, reducing industrial goods tariffs and rates to reduce cars and alcohol rates. He also signed an agreement to start the Starlink of Elon Musk’s Starlink.

Washington, however, wanted access to Indian agriculture and dairy products with Delhi to reduce the $ 45 million deficit.

But these sectors are for the fashion or, therefore, is the Prime Minister of India. Agriculture and related sectors more than 45% of Indian employment and The following governments are protected by hard farmers.

Mr Kugelman believes that giving requests in Washington does not have the opportunity to India.

“India is first to ensure public anger and does not require pressure. This is essential for political reasons for home,” he noted.

It also believes that Trump has nothing to do with the importance of India to import oil from Moscow Growing frustration Vladimir Putin on the Russian President.

“Trump continues to catch his pressure tactics, trying to cut Russia, trying to cut out of his most important oil buyers, punishing business with Moscow,” he noted.

But Delhi cannot pay for importing Russian oil at night.

India is already the third largest consumer in the world and 2030. It exceeds China as it increases its energy demand by international energy agency (IEA).

Russia takes more than 30% of total oil imports in India, a leap in 2021-22% less than 1%.

Many Western India finances the War of Moscow indirectly, but Delhi has refused, and does not buy a discount of buying Russian oil.

India also sees Russia as a “full weather” ally. Moscow traditionally delhi rescue has arrived in the past crises and is still enjoying the support of the wider Public of India.

In Moscow, there are also biggest suppliers in Becoms, the division of import portfolio in India fell to 36% between 2016 and 2020, according to Stockholm Institute of International Peace.

This is largely to encourage Delhi’s manufacture of home and buy more from the US, France and Israel.

But the role of Russia cannot be exceeded in the Indian defense strategy. The West was something he understood and did not challenge – until Trump decided to break from the rules established.

Until now, India was able to successfully wander the diplomatic Tightrape without linking to Russia.

The US has long seen India against China’s superiority against China’s superiority, in the Barnartian bipartisan Delhi in Washington.

And Moscow (sometimes enthusiastically) did not react hard to links without connection to Washington and other western countries.

But now Trump has questioned that attitude. India will react to Delha to decide the future of the US relationship.

India has been measured so far in his response, but it is not completely supported. In his expression, the US encouraged that he encouraged Russia to obtain the energy market stability of energy to buy oil from Russia.

He also said that he was aimed at, EU continues to buy energy, fertilizer, mining and chemical products.

While things seem bad, some analysts said that everything is not lost. India and the US have close links in many sectors, because they cannot be throughout the night.

Both countries collaborate in space technology, computer science, education and defense sectors.

Many large home companies have invested a lot in the US, and the largest companies in Silicon Valley have Indian operations.

“I think the basics of the relationship are not weak. Day Trump announces 25% rates and unspecified penalties, when India and the US collaborated in a strategic area Indian rocket sent a satellite developed together into space“Mr. Misra says.

It will be interesting how India react to the sharp rhetoric rhetoric.

“Trump does not have a business policy view.

But there is a great shared partner in collaboration, seeing the work entered over the last two decades.

“Lost, that it may be potentially recoverable. But due to the expanse of current disease, it can take a long time.”

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