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Iran Parliament has approved blocking the Strait of the wall


The load ships in the city of Iran in Bandar Abbas, is the main base of the Army of the Republic of Iceland and has a strategic attitude on the Strait of the Harragne on 29 April 2019.

Atta Kenare | AFP | Getty Images

Iran may threaten to close the strait of the concrete, but the experts said CNBC said most to lose the most.

On the main movement, after the nuclear nuclear nuclear site, Country Parliament on Sunday He accepted the closure of the walls of the walls, endangering neighbors aliening and commercial partners.

The decision to close the water is associated with the Council of National Security in the country and has an opportunity to aggravate high-price spectra and geopolitical tensions, calling Washington to Being Beijing, to avoid the closure of the strait.

Vanda Hari, Energy Intelligence Firm Vanda Insights company, CNBC said “Squawk Box Asia“Closing option is” completely minimalist “.

If Iran blocks the strait, the country causes enemies in the area around the enemy, causing enemies and put enemies in danger.

In addition, an closing would also provoke Iran’s market in Asia, especially in China, which The most Iranian oil exports are.

“So very little to get it, and a car could harm them for Iran,” the thread said.

His view Andrew Bishop supports the Global Senior Partner and Politics Research heads in the Global Signum Advisors consulting company.

Iran does not want to antagonize China, he added that in the country’s oil production, export infrastructure and regime “a goal”.

Clayton Seigle, strategic and international center of study, Clayton Seigle said the climate changes in Gulf and international research said. That Iran will not only, “His national security interest stabilization and scaling will be value in stable situation and disappearance of the state through errors.”

There is currently no indication of threats for commercial shipping over the Icontrol, Consolidated marine information center. “The US-related ships successfully transited without interrupting the strait of the walls, which is positive to the immediate future.”

The effect of potential disruptions

The strait of the wall is the only sea road in the PERSIAN Gulf, and around 20% of the world oil crosses the path. The US Energy Information Administration describe It is the “most important source of the world’s oil transportation”.

“Operations around Iran operations and hurts are unlikely” all or nothing “, but instead, they move through the sliding scale from the total disruption to anyone,” Signum said the bishop.

“The best strategy (for Iran), the flow of oil would be sufficient to be moderately upward price movement, but it is not enough to provoke an important response to Iran’s oil production and export capacity,” he added.

On Sunday, Patrick de Haan, at the head of Gasbuddy’s Petrick exams, 3.35- $ 3.5.5.5.5.5.5.5 dollars, is averages of $ 3.139 in the week of June 16.

Iran should decide to close the strait, using small boats for a partial lock or to achieve a complete solution, the waterway is mine, according to David Roche, according to quantum strategy.

In a Sunday note, Global views of the S & P Global Products It was written by an Iranian closure of Iran, but also international international Gulf, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Qatar.

This potentially removed more than 17 million barrels from global markets, and would affect regional refineries, due to the shortage of feedstock, research companies said. The interruption of the supply will also affect Asia, Europe and North America.

In addition to oil, natural gas flows can also be “serious influences,” said Qatar gases 77 million metric tons of exports in Asia and Europe cannot be in key markets.

Qatar’s GNL exports are about 20% of the GNL Global Supply.

“Alternative alternative supply of oil and gas in the Middle East are limited, the ability of Pipeline is not enough for low tide and red sea,” S & P added.

A Commonwealth Bank of Australia He stressed that there is a limited scope to prevent the strait of the wall. ” Saudi Arabia and the Basque Country only has a replacement capacity of 2.6 million barrels, and the transport of 20 million barrels and oil products during the day, the bank said in a note.

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All the risk of energy prices, Goldman Sachs estimate that the market has primary prices of the geopolitical risk of $ 12.

If it passes through oil spill, it should be downloaded for a month, and then, after another 11 months, Brent predicts the “short jump” to the summit of $ 110, Goldman said.

Train The futures of oil are $ 78.95 per barrel, meanwhile West Texas means The futures were negotiating $ 75.75.

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