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Revolution Revolution Revolution Boat sea boat, Irgc Marine parade, next to the Persian National Gulf Day, in the Bushehr marine city, southern Iran, 29 April 2024.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Some armor allow you to be strategically important Strait of the wallDepending on the greatest shipment of World Shipping, it reflects more and more sense Industry uneasiness Because Israel’s Iran conflict is on.
Israel’s Surprise attack Iran on Friday, Iran’s military and nuclear infrastructure has continued in four days of escalation of the region among the enemies of the region.
This has rated the extraordinary level of prudence in the red sea and the walls of the concrete, Critical door In the world oil industry – and container vessels call Dubai Jebel Ali in the massive port.
Jacob Larsen, BIMCO security, says it seems to increase the conflict of Israel-Iran, causing concerns in the armor community and causing a “modest drop in the number of surrounding boats.
Usually, it usually doesn’t keep the boats far from certain places, said the situation has introduced an element of uncertainty.
“Circumstances and risk tolerances are very variable in the armors. It seems that most of the armors now choose, while some seem to move away,” Larsen said by email by CNBC.
“In the greatest security threats, freight rates and crew salaries are often to take the risk of passing through conflict areas.
The strait of the wall, which connects the Persian Gulf to the Arabian sea, is one The most important news of the world’s oil.
In 2023, the oil passes through the waterway average 20.9 million barrels per day, according to the US Energy Information Administration, accounts for about 20% of global liquid oil consumption.
The disability of the oil crossing of the harrizes can cause a temporary global energy price, rising shipping costs and create relevant supplies delays.
Next to the oil, the walls are also essential for global container trade. This is the ports of this region (Jebel Ali and Khor Fakkan) Translipment sites, which means that they consider mediation in global shipping networks.
Most of the load volumes of these ports are aimed at Dubain, which has been the movement of goods in Persian, South Asia and East Africa.
Peter Tirschwell, S & P Global President of the Market’s Market and Trade in recent days have begun to be “shy” for groups that sail the rest of the walls.
“You could see the effect of the Houti rebels in the red sea. However, the threat sent a wide majority of the container moving in south africa. It has happened in the last year,” Tirschwell said CNBC saidSquawk Box Asia“Monday.
“Ocean bearers have no plans to return to the red sea and thus the threat of military activity about a major route like the strait will be enough to interrupt the shipping significantly,” he added.
Israel-Iran conflict will rise goods rates
Freight rates jumped after Israel’s attacks in Iran last week. In fact, the date published on Monday in KPler, Western Gulf Tanker Frees 24% in China, $ 1.67 per barrel of $ 1.67.
VlCC (large crude carriers) The goods rates had the greatest daily life, with one of the most daily January relatives, and confirmed the level of perceived risk in the field.
Klerre analysts have said that adding more freight rates is a very unstable situation, even though the premium of the premium of marine war.
The missiles from Iran from Tel Aviv, from Israel, will be seen on June 16, 2025.
Ronen Zvulun | Reuters
David Smith, insurance mcgill and partner hulls and sea liabilities, at least in seasonal insurance fees, “the last enemies between Israelis and Iran is not stable.”
But that “could change tremendously,” he added whether to scale in the field.
“The war references cost 48 hours before entering the” violation “field. When subscribers join the perceived risk, they have the ability to quickly increase premiums,” Smith said CNBC via email.
Hapag-Lloyd AG Leverkusen Express Sails Yangshan Deepwater from the port, Shanghai International Port Group, August 7, 2019.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
A spokesperson for German-based ships Llooyd The threat of the walls of the wall remains “significant” continues to be “significant” without immediate danger to the maritime sector.
Hapag-Lloyd said he has not planned the problem during the moment when crossing the water path, to change the situation to change the “very short” situation.
The company added that it does not have immediate crossing the red sea, however, that he has not warned it from the end of December 2023.
– CNBC Lori Ann Larocco helped this report.
