Climate puzzle is accidentally warm in January

In the last month, the world was the hottest January in the register to collect more questions about the rhythm of climate change, scientists say.

January 2025 was expected to be slightly cooler than January 2024, as it was detected from a natural model of the Pacific known known as El Niño.

Instead, the January 2024 record was broken in the last month in almost 0.1C, according to the European Copernicus Climate Service.

The world heating occurs as a result of heating spills on human activities, especially smoking fossil fuels, but scientists cannot fully explain why the last month has been especially hot.

It follows great high temperatures in the middle of 2023, above 0.2C temperatures above the expected.

“We are breaking the basic reason, and we have been a long-term heating period, because we are increasing the number of greenhouse gases,” Gavin Schmidt, Director of the NASA GODDARD Institute, told the news of BBC.

“2023 and 2024, and 2024, and (starting start) specifically, they were so warm, there are other items involved. We are trying to decline them.”

January 2025th. He finished a 1.75C heating heating than the temperature of the 19th century before humans begin to heat the climate.

At first last year, the global temperatures were being driven Natural child model modelWhere unusual warm water spread throughout the East Pacific water. This releases extra heat to the atmosphere, growing global temperatures.

This year, the terms of La Niña are developing, according to the NOAA science group that should have an adverse effect.

While La Niña is a weak day, and sometimes it takes a couple of months to have a big impact on temperatures – expected that he would bring a cooler January.

“If you thought it depends on January 2025 a few months ago, my best shot was,” Adam Scafe, the head of the UK Met office made monthly, said.

“We know it’s not, and we don’t know why that is.”

Some theories have been submitted for those who have been hotter than the last years.

An idea involves the long response of the oceans 2023-24 to El Niño.

While it was not particularly strong, he continued The La Niña phase is unusual long between 2020-23.

El Niño events, therefore, has been heated by the “lid”, allowed to escape the atmosphere by allowing the hot ocean.

But it is not clear how it would be directly in global temperatures End Niño finished 1 year a year.

“Based on historical data, this time is likely to influence, so if the current record continues, the explanation remains less and less,” he says profiles.

In other regions of the world The sea temperature remains warming “that the behavior of the ocean is changing, according to the Deputy Director of Samantha Burgess, Copernicus.

“We’re really evolving ocean temperatures because they have a direct effect on air temperature.”

Another significant theory is to reduce the number of small particles in the atmosphere, known as aerosol.

These small particles are historically protected from long-term greenhouse gases, as carbon dioxide and methane forms bright clouds and reflect the energy of the sun.

Aerosol numbers recently fall, shipping and reducing small particles in the Chinese industry, for example, aimed at cleaning the air that people breathe.

But it means that they have not had a great cooling effect to compensate for heating gases caused by heating gases.

This Aerosol effect underestimates the UN, argued that James Hansen argued that the scientist made the first major warnings on the U.S. Senate in 1988.

Most scientists are still not sure of it. But, if true, it can be said that there is a greater change in climate than under assumed.

“The nightmare scenario, says Prof. Scaif, would be an additional cloud opinion, in which the heating of the ocean can cause reflective clouds to carry out the planet.

This theory is also very sure. But in the previous months, the lights should be helped in recent years whether the “extraordinary” warmth is a blip, or marks the acceleration of heating beyond scientists.

Today, most researchers expect that it will be slightly cooler than 2025 and 2024, but the latest news cannot be sure.

They know, however, that more records continue before or later humans continue to heat the planet.

“On time, 2025 is likely to experiment with one of the cooler years,” Dr. Burgess said.

“Failure to turn off emissions to emissions (greenhouse gases) will continue to increase global temperatures.”

Graphics by Erwan Rivault