Can a Super Bowl Victory tank be a Super Bowl tank on the stock exchange?

Among the fans of CNBC Eagles Eagles, I was able to open my inbox this week to find an email chain with the subject line, “why bulls hate birds.”

Circulating among my colleagues Carson Group’s main market strategy Ryan Detroick, Philadelphia stated that Super bowl and World Series The winners historically joined the calamity of the stock market.

1929 stock exchange crash? In the same year, Philadelphia athletics won the world series. And in 2018, Eagles won the first Super Bowl year, since 2008 was the worst year of stock.

“To whom you need to hold on personally, I can’t have a team, but I think I’ll just say that Phillyk Super Bowl or World Series can happen to be really bad,” wrote in the postAnd then this horrible diagram.

Look, I don’t expect anyone with philly fans. I have a Jason Kelce T-shirt that says. “It doesn’t like anyone. We don’t care.” I get, we’re shameless.

But if you return the leaders, it’s not because you’re afraid of the decline of your wallet. After all, after Philly Sports Vivieraories and the stock exchange slide, they throw the market experts “indicators” are the last “indicators”.

Things that actually drive movements in the economy and stock market – Corporate profitsthe feeling of consumers, Interest rates – It can be dry. And those of us who write about these things at the same time, at the same time with the funny small nuggets of the history of the stock market.

Sure, you can pay attention to what the Federal Reserve makes. But, what happens what would happen differently?

Take the so-called Hemline indicator, which says skirt style shorter during the market (think of 20s, growth in the 80s) and dresses are more modest in economic decline. In this regard, perhaps the event to pay attention this weekend is not Super Bowl, New York Fashion Week.

Or if you believe in the January barometer you can ignore everything. Market truism suggests the results of the annual esteum calendar in January what stocks have taken. That’s good news this year; S & P 500 years rose by about 3% in the first month of the year.

However, historical correlation markets has historically ascending, the period. Stocks have produced a positive calendar year since 71% of the time returned since 1945, January fell 29 times 14 times.

One of the stories associated with these indicators will remind you: The performance of the past is not to ensure future results. If any of these indicators had a reliable predictors of the movements of the past stock market, no one can investments in the direction of the future.

Although he believed in these types, it is prosecutor than the evidence against Philly Sports. Sure Phillies got the title in 2008, and the year was bad for stocks. The financial crisis started in 2007 and the bear market began in 2007 and the world series plays in October.

And the 2007-2009 Bear market ended up to six months from March 2009 to win, so they helped me turn around the surrounding things.

Also, why just the world and Super Bowl? In 1983 do we not consider the sixth title, rose by 17% of S & P 500 in one year? What about 1975? Flyer lifted the second Stanley Cup year, the market rose by 32% (after 30% decrease, but who is counting?).

In addition, Detrick stated that the classic Super Bowl indicators say that the market usually favor the winners of the NFC from the NFC. Although he would go to the eagles, the two years of the last two years have been quite impressive for investors.

So what is this neutral fan to do all? You would say the first detrick: nothing. Your portfolio is not moving when they win long dresses or win sports events. So feel the color uniform or quarterback attractiveness or select your feelings based on Taylor Swift.

Simply, if they are market tanks, it will not be because the eagles lifted Lombardi trophy on Sunday. Tell me: Go to the birds.

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