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“Politics is not blown on the tail – shaking the whole dog.”
From a wealth manager CNBC these strong CNBC words have captured the first half of the primary negotiation. They will probably set the stage when they continue to dominate the “GeoConomics” market force.
This week, expect to return to monetary policy, central bankers around the world have maintained the heads, among political volts. Prepare to talk to the Syntra, Portugal to talk to the Esckey Forum.
Break report
It has happened in the last six months, commercial tensions and trukes that send markets over the world.
VIX Volatility Index – April, April, known as the Tarre-threatening threats as a threat to Wall Street threats. Meanwhile, in the moments of the Middle East they also kept investors on the edge of “Black Swan”.
Dax vs S & P 500
There has been a significant resistance among all uncertainty. German Dax transcends in Europe. More than 18% of this year, followed by about 100% FTSE in London, 5% earnings.
But what does it mean to negotiate all in the second half of the year? Goldman Sachs warns “, it is likely that the disappeared political policy with the uncertainty of the deterioration.
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Central banks take a stage in the Sintra
Goldman warnings loudly as a ring in investor ears, the scenario is set for central banks.
This week, the Portuguese Sintra town considers the EBB annual forum, and European central banks meet international members to exchange opinions on current policy issues.
The sun can be well in Portugal – but President Donald Trump Last comments It certainly does not throw off the meeting, as the unprecedented pressure continues to be federal reserve president Jerome Powell.
Last week, Trump called Powell’s name, sparked a talk called “Shadow-fed chair“He could look at things, until next year you take it as a chair.
Powell also put on the equivalent of his money policy until it has the impact of commercial rates.
Europe must decide to dictate his policy from a U.S. point of view, opening SINTRA procedures with Czk President Christine Lagarde with a lecture on Monday afternoon.
Expect a pointed tone; The latest recent OP-Ed in financial times He called the euro to take advantage of the current environment and “gain global prominence.”
First year of work in power
The next Friday is the first anniversary of the Labor Party that takes powerful in the UK, 14 years in a row. Soil victory He saw a Jubilant Labor downing street, with change and growth promise. But the wedding period was a short duration.
Faster 12 months old and Keir Starmer Prime Minister has reached his first year office Admission ratings This put his party below the leaders of opponents, including the reform Nigel Farage, Liberal Democrat Sir Ed Davey and Conservative Leader Kemi Badenoch.
Starmer has faced the external pressure, a Public Spat with Elon Musk Challenges of foreign policy in Ukraine and the Middle East. There are also three trade offerings – Europe, India and the first US agreement – he did little to improving popularity. But the economic challenges of the house causes distress pressure as well as within its party to review some reform.
